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Tested using Shawnee's extremely old ruler dying almost immediately in the 1508 scenario. Went through 38 random leaders for 114 data points.
- Looks approximately like 50% chance of 3 or 4, 30% chance of 2 or 5, and 20% chance of 0, 1, or 6. More data points are needed to say for certain though. ~ Meneth (talk) 22:42, 17 August 2013 (CEST)
More testing: When generating a new ruler via event, it appears to be a uniform (1d7-1) distribution instead. For regular rulers I used a modded high heir chance + 1 day MTTH heir killing event. 96 heirs produced
|Power level||Count||Expected from 2d4-2|
Mean is 3.0625. Lots of 4s but still appears plausible that it's 2d4-2, though it could also be something a little different.
Regency councils: appear to have lower skill than monarchs. 96 regency councils:
|Power level||Count||Expected from 2d4-3|
Again more 3s than would be expected from 2d4-3. Perhaps a subtly different distribution than 2d4-X? Still, seems plausible that it's a straight shift of -1.
I'm looking for information on another kind of military power. I'm trying to diplovassal, but I lack sufficient military power: http://imgur.com/acWZTbR.